Learn / Market News / USD/CAD treads water above 1.4000 ahead of Canadian CPI data

USD/CAD treads water above 1.4000 ahead of Canadian CPI data

  • The US Dollar ticks up against the CAD, but remains trapped between 1.4000 and 1.4050.
  • The Canadian CPI is expected to show that inflation pressures slowed down in October.
  • US manufacturing activity and construction spending are expected to show uninspiring figures later on Monday.


 The Canadian Dollar holds marginal gains against a firmer US Dollar on Monday, but the USD/CAD remains trading back and forth within the last few days’ trading range, with downside attempts held above the 1.4000 level and bulls capped below 1.4050.

Most currency pairs are trading within recent ranges, with the US Dollar slightly favoured by the cautious market mood, as investors bid their time ahead of the release of a slew of delayed US data, which might shed some more light on the US economic outlook and the Federal Reserve’s next monetary policy decisions.

Canadian CPÎ is expected to have eased in October

The focus today is on the Canadian Consumer Prices Index (CPI) report. Consumer inflation is expected to have ticked up to 0.2% in October, from 0.1% in September, although the yearly rate is seen slowing down to 2.1% from the previous month’s 2.4% reading.

In the US, the New York Federal Reserve’s Empire State Manufacturing Index is expected to show that business conditions in the sector deteriorated moderately, to a 6.0 reading in November from last month’s 10.

 At a later time, the US Census Bureau will release the US Construction Spending from August, the first of a slew of delayed macroeconomic reports. August's data is expected to show a 0.1% decline following an identical contraction in the previous month.

Economic Indicator

Consumer Price Index (MoM)

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by Statistics Canada on a monthly basis, represents changes in prices for Canadian consumers by comparing the cost of a fixed basket of goods and services. The MoM figure compares the prices of goods in the reference month to the previous month. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Mon Nov 17, 2025 13:30

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 0.2%

Previous: 0.1%

Source: Statistics Canada

Economic Indicator

Consumer Price Index (YoY)

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by Statistics Canada on a monthly basis, represents changes in prices for Canadian consumers by comparing the cost of a fixed basket of goods and services. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to the same month a year earlier. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Mon Nov 17, 2025 13:30

Frequency: Monthly

Consensus: 2.1%

Previous: 2.4%

Source: Statistics Canada

There is a high level of risk in Margined Transaction products, as Contract for Difference (CFDs) are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to the leverage. Trading CFDs may not be suitable for all traders as it could result in the loss of the total deposit or incur a negative balance; only use risk capital.

ATC Brokers Limited (United Kingdom) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 591361).

ATC Brokers Limited (Cayman Islands) is authorised and regulated by the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority (FRN 1448274).

Prior to trading any CFD products, review all the terms and conditions and you should seek advice from an independent and suitably licensed financial advisor and ensure that you have the risk appetite, relevant experience and knowledge before you decide to trade. Under no circumstances shall ATC Brokers Limited have any liability to any person or entity for any loss or damage in whole or part cause by, resulting from, or relating to any transactions related to CFDs.

Information on this site is not directed at residents in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

United States applicants will need to qualify as an Eligible Contract Participant as defined in the Commodity Exchange Act §1a(18), by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for the application to be considered.

© 2025 ATC Brokers. All rights reserved