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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

Fed Minutes to offer insights into March hold decision amid hawkish outlook

April 8, 2026, 1:15:00 PM UTC
The Federal Reserve (Fed) will publish its Minutes from the March 18 meeting on Wednesday. The release should be less about the decision itself and more about the officials’ “no rush to cut” narrative.
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Copper: From laggard to potential outperformer – Commerzbank

April 8, 2026, 1:06:01 PM UTC
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes Copper has turned into a top performer after being one of the weakest metals, pressured by rising LME stocks and mixed supply news.
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Iran's IRGC: Will manage Strait of Hormuz proactively

April 8, 2026, 12:57:13 PM UTC
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) stated on Wednesday that Iran will manage the Strait of Hormuz proactively and control it intelligently, while warning of a stronger response to any renewed attacks from the United States (US) or Israel, per Reuters.
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RBNZ: Hold at 2.25% with tightening bias – BNY

April 8, 2026, 12:41:36 PM UTC
BNY's Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage at notes that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) kept the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% as the Middle East conflict altered the outlook, lifting near‑term inflation risks while weighing on growth.
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USD/BRL: Targets 5.55 by end-2026 – Rabobank

April 8, 2026, 12:35:42 PM UTC
Rabobank economists Mauricio Une and Renan Alves note that the Dollar (USD) closed last week at 5.1573, with the Brazilian Real (BRL) appreciating 1.6% over the week, ranking among the top emerging-market performers.
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Gold climbs as US-Iran ceasefire weighs on US Dollar

April 8, 2026, 12:21:02 PM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) climbs toward three-week highs on Wednesday after the United States and Iran reached a temporary two-week ceasefire agreement, offering relief to markets following days of escalating tensions.
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Oil: Prices slump below $100 on ceasefire – ING

April 8, 2026, 12:06:50 PM UTC
ING’s commodities team of Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson report that Oil prices have dropped sharply, with Brent and WTI falling well below $100 as a US–Iran two‑week ceasefire eases supply disruption fears.
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USD: Relief-driven downside potential – BBH

April 8, 2026, 12:02:05 PM UTC
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the US-Iran ceasefire has pushed financial markets into relief mode, with Brent, equities and bonds reacting positively and the Dollar falling sharply.
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Mexico Consumer Confidence dipped from previous 44.5 to 44.1 in March

April 8, 2026, 12:01:04 PM UTC
Mexico Consumer Confidence dipped from previous 44.5 to 44.1 in March
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Mexico Consumer Confidence s.a: 44.1 (March) vs previous 44.4

April 8, 2026, 12:00:24 PM UTC
Mexico Consumer Confidence s.a: 44.1 (March) vs previous 44.4
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UK: PMI inflation surge clouds outlook – MUFG

April 8, 2026, 11:54:08 AM UTC
MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny underlines that United Kingdom (UK) PMI Services and Composite data show a larger downturn than in Europe, with a record jump in input prices driven by energy concerns.
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NZD/USD rallies to near 0.5850 amid risk-on mood, RBNZ’s hawkish remarks

April 8, 2026, 11:44:40 AM UTC
The NZD/USD pair is up 1.6% to near 0.5830 in the European trading session on Wednesday.
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Euro steadies at five-week highs near 1.1700 amid market optimism

April 8, 2026, 11:43:41 AM UTC
The announcement of a two-week ceasefire in Iran triggered a relief rally during Wednesday’s Asian trading session that sent the safe-haven US Dollar (USD) tumbling against its main peers.
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EUR: Supported with firmer data and ceasefire – BNY

April 8, 2026, 11:39:49 AM UTC
BNY's Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage notes Eurozone producer prices fell on energy weakness while ex‑energy pressures stayed positive, and retail sales showed modest annual growth despite monthly softness.
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US President Trump: Talking tariff and sanctions relief with Iran

April 8, 2026, 11:38:14 AM UTC
United States (US) President Donald Trump said on Truth Social on Wednesday that the US will work closely with Iran through a "very productive regime change."
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Gold: Ceasefire rally driven by yields and rates – Commerzbank

April 8, 2026, 11:27:07 AM UTC
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch reports that Gold jumped up to 3% to USD 4,855 per ounce after the 14‑day Middle East ceasefire, behaving unlike a classic safe haven. The move is linked to lower Oil prices, reduced inflation risks and softer rate expectations, which have pushed bond yields down.
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NZD: RBNZ tightening bias and earlier hike risk – TD Securities

April 8, 2026, 11:15:40 AM UTC
TD Securities analysts review the latest Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) decision, noting the cash rate was held at 2.25% while inflation forecasts were revised sharply higher for Q1 and Q2.
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AUD/USD eases below 0.7050 as the market digests the ceasefire in Iran

April 8, 2026, 11:00:03 AM UTC
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is trading higher against the US Dollar (USD) for the third consecutive day on Wednesday, boosted by investors’ optimism about the ceasefire in Iran.
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United States MBA Mortgage Applications up to -0.8% in April 3 from previous -10.4%

April 8, 2026, 11:00:01 AM UTC
United States MBA Mortgage Applications up to -0.8% in April 3 from previous -10.4%
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USD/INR falls sharply as oil prices face bloodbath on US-Iran ceasefire

April 8, 2026, 10:47:59 AM UTC
The Indian Rupee (INR) jumps to a fresh over three-week high against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday. The USD/INR pair slides to near 92.30 as the US Dollar weakens and global oil prices nosedive, following a temporary ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran.
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USD/CHF Price Forecast: Bearish momentum gains traction below 0.7900

April 8, 2026, 10:12:43 AM UTC
The US Dollar (USD) accelerated its reversal against the Swiss Franc (CHF) on Wednesday, as investors pared back US Dollar long positions following the announcement of a ceasefire in Iran.
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EUR: Peace breather and ECB expectations support – Commerzbank

April 8, 2026, 9:57:02 AM UTC
Commerzbank notes that the Dollar is selling off as risk sentiment improves, with the Euro rising close to 1.17 against the Dollar following the ceasefire news.
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Gold: Ceasefire lifts prices as traders watch Hormuz – DBS

April 8, 2026, 9:37:22 AM UTC
DBS Group Research’s Eugene Leow notes that Gold surged over 2% to above USD4800 after a two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran reduced immediate escalation risks.
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Germany 10-y Bond Auction increased to 2.92% from previous 2.89%

April 8, 2026, 9:35:55 AM UTC
Germany 10-y Bond Auction increased to 2.92% from previous 2.89%
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EUR/GBP is testing support at 0.8700 despite risk-on markets

April 8, 2026, 9:34:17 AM UTC
The Euro (EUR) accelerated its decline against the British Pound (GBP) on Wednesday, with bears testing support at 0.8700 at the time of writing. The Pound fares better than the common currency amid the positive market sentiment triggered by the ceasefire in Iran.
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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

April 8, 2026, 9:31:10 AM UTC
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Wednesday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $76.91 per troy ounce, up 5.38% from the $72.98 it cost on Tuesday.
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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Posts fresh monthly high around 1.1700

April 8, 2026, 9:30:36 AM UTC
The EUR/USD pair trades 0.75% higher to near 1.1700 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair strengthens as the US Dollar (USD) underperforms amid an upbeat market mood.
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NZD/USD: Hawkish RBNZ supports upside – BBH

April 8, 2026, 9:24:20 AM UTC
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that NZD/USD has surged over 2% on improved risk sentiment and a hawkish hold from the RBNZ.
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EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Trades near 185.00 after pulling back from upper channel boundary

April 8, 2026, 9:16:21 AM UTC
EUR/JPY edges lower after two days of gains, trading around 185.00 during the European hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests the currency cross is moving upwards within the ascending channel pattern, indicating bullish bias.
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India: RBI seen on prolonged hold – UOB

April 8, 2026, 9:06:59 AM UTC
UOB’s Jester Koh notes that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept the policy repo rate at 5.25% in April 2026 and retained a neutral stance.
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