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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

EUR/GBP edges lower as France confidence vote puts Euro under pressure

September 8, 2025, 12:52:30 PM UTC
The Euro (EUR) is trading under pressure against the British Pound (GBP) on Monday, with EUR/GBP hovering above 0.8660 at the time of writing. The cross remains subdued as traders adopt a wait-and-see stance ahead of a crucial confidence vote in France later today.
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Will Nonfarm Payrolls revisions hint at a 50 bps Fed cut next week?

September 8, 2025, 12:44:13 PM UTC
The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the 2025 preliminary benchmark revision to the Establishment Survey Data on Tuesday, September 9.
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JPY is weak and underperforming – Scotiabank

September 8, 2025, 11:59:11 AM UTC
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is weak, down 0.3% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming all of the G10 currencies to start the week, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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GBP is looking well supported – Scotiabank

September 8, 2025, 11:56:34 AM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is trading with modest support and entering Monday’s NA session with a slightly bullish bias, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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USD/JPY rebound stalls below 200-DMA – Société Générale

September 8, 2025, 11:54:57 AM UTC
USD/JPY has bounced from its August low near 146.20 but remains capped by the 200-day moving average. Failure to clear resistance around 150.90–151.20 would keep downside risks in play, with a break below 146.20 opening the door to a deeper correction, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
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EUR quiet ahead of ECB Thursday – Scotiabank

September 8, 2025, 11:52:28 AM UTC
The Euro (EUR) is quietly consolidating in a tight range and entering Monday’s NA session unchanged from Friday’s close, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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Gold rallies into uncharted territory, fueled by Fed easing bets and global risks

September 8, 2025, 11:50:26 AM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) begins the week on an impressive bullish note, soaring to fresh all-time highs above $3,600 per ounce on Monday.
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USD/CNH test the major support at 7.1200 before recovery is likely – UOB Group

September 8, 2025, 11:46:13 AM UTC
There is a chance for US Dollar (USD) to test the major support at 7.1200 before a more sizeable recovery is likely.
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CAD soft but off overnight low as BoC rate expectations shift – Scotiabank

September 8, 2025, 11:44:15 AM UTC
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) has firmed a little on the session, catching a mild lift amid broader US Dollar (USD) losses but gains are lagging decent intraday gains for the NZD and AUD amid positive risk appetite, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a range between 146.55 and 149.55 – UOB Group

September 8, 2025, 11:42:21 AM UTC
Rapid advance in US Dollar (USD) has scope to test 148.80 before leveling off; 149.55 is unlikely to come under threat. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; USD could trade in a range between 146.55 and 149.55 for now.
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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Soars to near 0.5930 amid risk-on market sentiment

September 8, 2025, 11:41:04 AM UTC
The NZD/USD pair trades 0.66% higher to near 0.5930 during the European trading session on Monday. The Kiwi pair strengthens as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) outperforms its peers amid cheerful market sentiment.
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USD soft but steady after payrolls – Scotiabank

September 8, 2025, 11:39:42 AM UTC
The USD slumped in response to the weak US NFP data Friday and it retains a soft undertone today. The 22k gain in August jobs was well below expectations and downward revisions to the prior data left the 3 month average job gain at 29k.
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EUR/USD rallies remain limites amid France's political woes

September 8, 2025, 11:38:56 AM UTC
The EUR/USD pair is ticking higher, trading near 1.1730 at the European session opening on Monday.
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WTI crude prices rise to $62.80 as OPEC+ dials down supply hike plans

September 8, 2025, 11:29:09 AM UTC
Crude Oil is trading higher on Monday, amid news reporting that the next OPEC+ supply hike scheduled for October will be lower than previously expected, while the recent attacks in Ukraine have raised speculation about further sanctions on Russian crude.
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Pound Sterling trades lower as UK interest rates path remains downwards

September 8, 2025, 11:17:31 AM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) underperforms its peers, except the US Dollar, at the start of the week.
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NZD/USD: For a continued rise, NZD must first close above 0.5930 – UOB Group

September 8, 2025, 11:16:43 AM UTC
Instead of continuing to rise, New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is more likely to range trade between 0.5855 and 0.5915. In the longer run, for a continued rise, NZD must first close above 0.5930, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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Japanese Prime Minister resigns – Commerzbank

September 8, 2025, 11:14:11 AM UTC
Following the disastrous results of the Upper House election in July and the accompanying loss of the majority, it was only a matter of time before the pressure on Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba became too great and he resigned.
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USD/CAD Price Forecast: Corrects to near 1.3800 as Fed rate cut bets weigh on US Dollar

September 8, 2025, 11:12:46 AM UTC
The USD/CAD pair retraces to near 1.3800 at the start of the week from its weekly high of 1.3855 posted on Friday.
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USD/CNH holds above 7.12 as China tade data disappoints – BBH

September 8, 2025, 11:12:23 AM UTC
USD/CNH is holding above key support at 7.1200, BBH FX analysts report.
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USD: Overseas politics provides some dollar support – ING

September 8, 2025, 10:47:41 AM UTC
Friday's August jobs data was again on the soft side. It was soft enough to have the market starting to speculate whether the Federal Reserve would restart its easing cycle with a 50bp rate cut - as it did last September.
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 USD/JPY retreats to 147.50 as markets digest PM Ishiba's resignation

September 8, 2025, 10:40:12 AM UTC
US Dollar’s upside attempts against the Japanese Yen have been capped right below 148.60, and the pair retreated to session lows at 147.50 as the Yen regained lost ground following Japanese Prime Minister Ishiba’s resignation.Ishiba announced earlier on the day of his decision to step down, followin
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CAD: Weak labour market delivers arguments for further interest rate cuts – Commerzbank

September 8, 2025, 10:39:43 AM UTC
Almost every currency strengthened against the US dollar on Friday in response to the weak US labour market report, Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
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China’s August Copper imports edge higher – ING

September 8, 2025, 10:25:19 AM UTC
China released its preliminary trade data for metals this morning, showing strong domestic demand for industrial metals. Imports of unwrought Copper rose 1.2% YoY to 425.1kt in August. However, cumulative Copper imports are still down 2.2% YoY to 3.5mt in the first eight months of the year.
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GBP/USD: Expected to trade in a range between 1.3460 and 1.3530 – UOB Group

September 8, 2025, 10:12:22 AM UTC
Pound Sterling (GBP) is expected to trade in a range between 1.3460 and 1.3530. In the longer run, the current price movements are likely part of a broad range between 1.3430 and 1.3595, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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AUD/USD: Chance for AUD to rise toward the resistance at 0.6595 – UOB Group

September 8, 2025, 10:09:11 AM UTC
There is room for Australian Dollar (AUD) to pull back further, but any decline is likely part of a range between 0.6530 and 0.6575.
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JPY, JGBs slip as PM Ishiba resigns – BBH

September 8, 2025, 10:05:46 AM UTC
The yen and Japanese government bonds briefly weakened after Prime Minister Ishiba’s resignation fueled speculation of a policy shift under potential successor Sanae Takaichi.
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GBP: Political reshuffle won't distract attention from Gilts – ING

September 8, 2025, 9:54:45 AM UTC
Pound Sterling (GBP) is holding steady, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.
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EUR/USD: Likely to consolidate between 1.1680 and 1.1740 – UOB Group

September 8, 2025, 9:52:24 AM UTC
Euro (EUR) is likely to consolidate between 1.1680 and 1.1740. In the longer run, EUR could rise but any advance is likely part of a higher range of 1.1650/1.1790, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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China’s central bank adds more Gold in August – ING

September 8, 2025, 9:49:53 AM UTC
China’s central bank continued to add Gold to its reserves for a tenth straight month in August, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.
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US inflation figures coming next – Commerzbank

September 8, 2025, 9:47:00 AM UTC
Friday's US labor market report finally dispelled any remaining doubts about whether the Fed would cut interest rates soon, briefly pushing EUR/USD above the 1.1750 mark. Only one of the 80 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg had expected an even worse figure.
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