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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

EUR/USD pressured as USD gains traction on uneven data and Fed divide

November 21, 2025, 8:47:23 PM UTC
EUR/USD posts moderate losses during the North American session on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) holds firm after the release of mixed economic data and dovish comments by Federal Reserve (Fed) officials. The pair trades at 1.1504, down 0.20%, after hitting a two-week low of 1.1491.
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Dow Jones Industrial Average rebounds on hopeful Friday

November 21, 2025, 7:46:27 PM UTC
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) caught a healthy rebound on Friday, climbing over 700 points to round out an otherwise bearish trading week.
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USD/JPY Price Forecast: Momentum eases but trend structure stays firmly bullish

November 21, 2025, 6:11:04 PM UTC
The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/JPY snapping a four-day winning streak after fresh verbal intervention warnings from Tokyo prompted mild profit-taking.
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United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count came in at 419, above forecasts (418)

November 21, 2025, 6:01:11 PM UTC
United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count came in at 419, above forecasts (418)
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Gold rallies past $4,100 as dovish Fed sparks December cut frenzy

November 21, 2025, 5:32:29 PM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) remains steady during the North American session on Friday as a Federal Reserve (Fed) officials opened the door for a cut at the December meeting. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,096, up by 0.53%, after hitting a daily high of $4,101.
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WTI Oil falls to one-month lows amid Ukraine peace talks, supply concerns

November 21, 2025, 4:45:11 PM UTC
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $57.60 on Friday at the time of writing, down 1.90% on the day.
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EUR/USD weakens as strong US PMI contrasts with softer Eurozone data

November 21, 2025, 4:04:09 PM UTC
The Euro (EUR) remains under pressure against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, even as the Greenback trades broadly flat, with traders weighing fresh US economic data and rising bets on a potential Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in December.
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GBP/USD firm as Fed easing bets outweigh soft US PMI signals

November 21, 2025, 3:56:43 PM UTC
The Pound Sterling turns positive in the day as traders increase their bets that the Federal Reserve could cut rates at the December meeting. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3082 up 0.08%.
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Breaking: US S&P Manufacturing PMI declines to 51.9 in November, Composite PMI rises to 54.8

November 21, 2025, 3:39:35 PM UTC
US S&P Global Composite PMI rose to 54.8 in November's flash estimate from 54.6 in October, showing that the business activity in the US' private sector continued to expand at an accelerating pace.
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Silver Price Forecast: Double-top signals fatigue, but the broader uptrend is not broken

November 21, 2025, 3:23:41 PM UTC
Silver (XAG/USD) trims a part of its earlier losses on Friday after marking a fresh weekly low at $48.64. At the time of writing, the metal is trading around $49.69, recovering modestly but still down nearly 1.50% on the day, and remains on track for a weekly decline.
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USD/CHF rises as US data bolsters sentiment, rate cut expectations

November 21, 2025, 3:13:48 PM UTC
USD/CHF trades around 0.8070 on Friday, up 0.10% on the day at the time of writing, as the US Dollar (USD) finds moderate support from mixed but generally resilient US data releases.
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United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index above forecasts (49) in November: Actual (51)

November 21, 2025, 3:02:59 PM UTC
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index above forecasts (49) in November: Actual (51)
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United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations came in at 4.5% below forecasts (4.7%) in November

November 21, 2025, 3:02:15 PM UTC
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations came in at 4.5% below forecasts (4.7%) in November
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United States Wholesale Inventories came in at 0%, above forecasts (-0.2%) in August

November 21, 2025, 3:00:40 PM UTC
United States Wholesale Inventories came in at 0%, above forecasts (-0.2%) in August
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United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 51, above expectations (50.5) in November

November 21, 2025, 3:00:04 PM UTC
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 51, above expectations (50.5) in November
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United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation came in at 3.4%, below expectations (3.6%) in November

November 21, 2025, 3:00:04 PM UTC
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation came in at 3.4%, below expectations (3.6%) in November
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United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (52) in November: Actual (51.9)

November 21, 2025, 2:45:47 PM UTC
United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (52) in November: Actual (51.9)
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United States S&P Global Services PMI above expectations (54.8) in November: Actual (55)

November 21, 2025, 2:45:05 PM UTC
United States S&P Global Services PMI above expectations (54.8) in November: Actual (55)
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United States S&P Global Composite PMI climbed from previous 54.6 to 54.8 in November

November 21, 2025, 2:45:04 PM UTC
United States S&P Global Composite PMI climbed from previous 54.6 to 54.8 in November
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USD/CAD hovers near 1.4100 as markets digest Fed remarks and mixed Canadian data

November 21, 2025, 2:38:40 PM UTC
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) holds steady against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, with USD/CAD hovering near 1.4100 as the Greenback stages a rebound after briefly losing momentum on dovish comments from New York Federal Reserve (Fed) President John Williams.
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Fed’s Logan: Would find it difficult to cut again in December

November 21, 2025, 2:17:33 PM UTC
Dallas Bank Federal Reserve (Fed) President Lorie Logan delivered a speech at “The SNB and its Watchers 2025” Conference at the Karl Brunner Institute in Zurich on Friday.
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Canada New Housing Price Index (YoY) unchanged at -1.8% in October

November 21, 2025, 2:17:31 PM UTC
Canada New Housing Price Index (YoY) unchanged at -1.8% in October
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Fed’s Collins: Inflation remains elevated

November 21, 2025, 2:12:04 PM UTC
Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Boston President Susan Collins spoke in an interview with CNBC on Friday. She claimed that the September jobs data was mixed and that, with limited data, economic activity remains resilient.
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Fed’s Miran: The lack of data doesn't mean we don't have a forecast

November 21, 2025, 2:06:45 PM UTC
Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Stephen Miran spoke in an interview for Bloomberg TV on Friday. He said that the Fed should be forecast-dependent, not data-dependent.
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JPY attempting bullish reversal – Scotiabank

November 21, 2025, 2:06:22 PM UTC
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is up an impressive 0.4% against the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming all of the G10 currencies as we head into the end of the week, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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GBP is showing impressive resilience to disappointing data – Scotiabank

November 21, 2025, 2:04:32 PM UTC
Pound Sterling (GBP) is soft, down a marginal 0.1% against the US Dollar (USD) and a mi performer among the G10 in an environment of persistent USD strength, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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EUR is soft and drifting back toward Thursday’s low – Scotiabank

November 21, 2025, 1:58:50 PM UTC
The Euro (EUR) is soft, down a marginal 0.1% as it drifts back toward Thursday’s low just above 1.15, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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CAD steady on the day – Scotiabank

November 21, 2025, 1:52:09 PM UTC
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the day, with spot holding gains towards the 1.41 area yesterday amid the US equity market sell-off, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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Weak risk mood underpins USD – Scotiabank

November 21, 2025, 1:51:48 PM UTC
The US Dollar (USD) remains amid firm weak risk appetite but the JPY is outperforming on the session, reflecting a ratcheting up of intervention rhetoric as Finance Minister Katayama warned of 'appropriate action' being taken against disorderly FX moves.
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Gold rebounds as fresh Fed signals revive December easing bets

November 21, 2025, 1:39:43 PM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) pares some of its intraday losses on Friday after fresh comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials revive near-term rate-cut expectations. New York Fed President John Williams said he still sees room for a near-term cut, helping the metal recover from an earlier slide.
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