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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

UK's Reeves: There will be no return to austerity

November 26, 2025, 1:02:51 PM UTC
While presenting the Autumn Budget on Wednesday, UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves said that there will be no return to austerity and added that they will maintain investment in the economy and health services, per Reuters.
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USD/CHF declines further as US Dollar weakens on Fed rate cut outlook

November 26, 2025, 12:52:13 PM UTC
USD/CHF trades lower on Wednesday, around 0.8060 at the time of writing, down 0.10% on the day. The pair extends the correction initiated after reaching its near three-week high just above 0.8100, pressured by a broader bearish tone surrounding the US Dollar (USD).
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EUR/USD hovers near highs with US Durable Goods, Jobless Claims on tap

November 26, 2025, 12:36:12 PM UTC
EUR/USD holds gains on Wednesday, although it remains capped below the 1.1600 line, trading at 1.1575 at the time of writing.
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USD/JPY picks up, nears 156.50 unfazed by BoJ tightening speculation

November 26, 2025, 12:26:53 PM UTC
The Yen is showing the weakest performance of the G8 currencies on Wednesday, which is supporting the USD/JPY to trim previous losses and return to levels near 156.50.
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Gold holds near two-week highs as dovish Fed bets build

November 26, 2025, 12:03:20 PM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) edges higher on Wednesday as traders lean into a more dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) outlook, with XAU/USD trading around $4,171, near two-week highs after closing almost unchanged on Tuesday.
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UK's OBR: Budget delivers third-largest medium-term tax increase since 2010

November 26, 2025, 12:03:08 PM UTC
The UK's Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) said on Wednesday that around three-quarters of the planned reduction in borrowing over the next five years now comes from tax increases, according to the Autumn Budget.
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Brazil Mid-month Inflation came in at 0.2%, above forecasts (0.18%) in November

November 26, 2025, 12:00:43 PM UTC
Brazil Mid-month Inflation came in at 0.2%, above forecasts (0.18%) in November
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United States MBA Mortgage Applications: 0.2% (November 21) vs -5.2%

November 26, 2025, 12:00:01 PM UTC
United States MBA Mortgage Applications: 0.2% (November 21) vs -5.2%
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AUD/USD climbs above 200-DMA – BBH

November 26, 2025, 11:56:40 AM UTC
AUD/USD rallies as Australia’s October inflation prints hotter than expected, reinforcing the RBA’s hold stance and contrasting with aggressive Fed easing expectations, BBH FX analysts report.
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NZD surges after RBNZ delivers fully priced 25bps cut – BBH

November 26, 2025, 11:43:33 AM UTC
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) climbs after the RBNZ delivers a fully priced 25bps cut and signals an end to its easing cycle, setting the stage for potential NZD gains into 2026, BBH FX analysts report.
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GBP steady ahead of UK Autumn Budget – BBH

November 26, 2025, 11:39:12 AM UTC
Pound Sterling (GBP) remains steady ahead of the UK Autumn Budget, with tax hikes expected to dominate and increased gilt sales likely, leaving GBP under pressure against major currencies, BBH FX analysts report.
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India M3 Money Supply: 9.8% (November 10) vs 9.3%

November 26, 2025, 11:36:32 AM UTC
India M3 Money Supply: 9.8% (November 10) vs 9.3%
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USD consolidates losses amid weak US data – BBH

November 26, 2025, 11:35:46 AM UTC
US Dollar (USD) is consolidating yesterday’s losses. Narrowing US-G6 rate differentials suggests the path of least resistance for USD is down. Fed policy is still restrictive and leaves scope for the Fed to deliver more easing.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds above $4,150, with $4,210 in focus

November 26, 2025, 11:32:44 AM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) remains trading on a firm tone on Wednesday, with price action consolidating above the $4,150 resistance area.
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AUD/USD climbs on robust Australian inflation, Fed rate cut expectations

November 26, 2025, 10:59:15 AM UTC
AUD/USD strengthens on Wednesday, trading around 0.6500, up 0.45% on the day at the time of writing, after Australia’s new “complete” monthly inflation measure surprised to the upside.
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Germany 10-y Bond Auction up to 2.67% from previous 2.62%

November 26, 2025, 10:47:57 AM UTC
Germany 10-y Bond Auction up to 2.67% from previous 2.62%
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NZD/USD’s post-RBNZ rally finds resistance above 0.5690

November 26, 2025, 10:45:33 AM UTC
The New Zealand Dollar is trading higher against its US counterpart on Wednesday, boosted by a “hawkish cut” by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand RBNZ) and heightened hopes that the US Federal Reserve will cut rates in December.
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India Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data

November 26, 2025, 10:45:27 AM UTC
Gold prices rose in India on Wednesday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
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Gold is likely to reach $5,000 in 2026 – Deutsche Bank

November 26, 2025, 10:15:57 AM UTC
Gold is breaking historical norms. Outperformance versus the US Dollar (USD) matches a record set last year, and the 2025 range in Gold is the largest since 1980.
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GBP: UK Budget priced in, Sterling faces limited upside – Société Générale

November 26, 2025, 10:09:34 AM UTC
The UK Budget is largely priced into markets, with increased fiscal spending and taxes likely to shift the fiscal/monetary mix in a sterling-negative direction, limiting any lasting gains for GBP despite potential short-term relief, Société Générale's FX analyst Kit Juckes reports.
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USD: Retail Sales data sparks caution – UBS

November 26, 2025, 9:48:16 AM UTC
In a recent analysis by UBS, Paul Donovan discusses the implications of the latest US Retail Sales data, which showed slight softness. Donovan emphasizes the importance of understanding the context of these numbers, particularly in light of inflation effects.
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GBP/USD risk reversals point to weaker Pound – Commerzbank

November 26, 2025, 9:41:34 AM UTC
GBP/USD faces heightened downside risks as market-implied volatility and risk reversals signal expectations for a weaker Pound Sterling (GBP) ahead of the UK Budget, with a credible fiscal plan from Chancellor Reeves key to restoring investor confidence, Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister note
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NZD/USD bounces strongly from 0.5580 low – Société Générale

November 26, 2025, 9:34:33 AM UTC
NZD/USD has rebounded sharply from last week’s low, breaking a falling wedge pattern, with the 50-day moving average near 0.5730 now in focus as a potential hurdle for further gains, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
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GBP: UK Budget in focus as chancellor Reeves speaks – ING

November 26, 2025, 9:29:03 AM UTC
It’s a big day for the UK and the pound. Chancellor Rachel Reeves is expected to deliver her budget address at 12.30 GMT.
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USD/CAD Price Forecasts: Bears are testing 1.4070 support

November 26, 2025, 9:26:52 AM UTC
The US Dollar is accelerating its reversal from last week’s highs above 1.4100 on Wednesday, with sellers testing support near 1.4070 as a raft of delayed US data releases keeps giving reasons for Federal Reserve doves to call for an easier monetary policy.
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GBP/USD carves higher low near 1.3030 – Société Générale

November 26, 2025, 9:10:03 AM UTC
GBP/USD is showing early signs of recovery, forming a higher low at 1.3030 and breaking the descending channel, with potential upside toward 1.3300 if support holds, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
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USD slips amid Ukraine peace optimism – ING

November 26, 2025, 9:09:31 AM UTC
The US Dollar (USD) has declined since Monday, in line with our call. While there are some signs that Ukraine peace deal optimism is supporting European currencies, short-term misvaluation justifies a dollar correction.
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WTI remains below $58.00 due to potential for a Ukraine-Russia peace

November 26, 2025, 9:08:59 AM UTC
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around $57.80 per barrel during the European hours on Wednesday. WTI price fell 1.70% in the previous session as prospects for a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement improved.
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Switzerland ZEW Survey – Expectations climbed from previous -7.7 to 12.2 in November

November 26, 2025, 9:00:34 AM UTC
Switzerland ZEW Survey – Expectations climbed from previous -7.7 to 12.2 in November
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Austria UniCredit Bank Manufacturing PMI rose from previous 48.8 to 50.4 in November

November 26, 2025, 9:00:09 AM UTC
Austria UniCredit Bank Manufacturing PMI rose from previous 48.8 to 50.4 in November
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