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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

South Africa SARB Interest Rate Decision meets forecasts (6.75%)

November 20, 2025, 1:05:21 PM UTC
South Africa SARB Interest Rate Decision meets forecasts (6.75%)
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Russia Central Bank Reserves $ climbed from previous $719.8B to $734.1B

November 20, 2025, 1:00:33 PM UTC
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ climbed from previous $719.8B to $734.1B
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USD/CHF climbs to two-week highs as US Dollar firms ahead of delayed NFP

November 20, 2025, 12:55:21 PM UTC
USD/CHF advances for the fifth consecutive day on Thursday, with the pair drawing strong support from broad US Dollar (USD) strength as markets position cautiously ahead of the delayed September Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report due at 13:30 GMT.
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US Nonfarm Payrolls set to provide key insights on US labor market after record-length shutdown

November 20, 2025, 12:45:00 PM UTC
The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for September on Thursday at 13:30 GMT.
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EUR/USD drifts lower heading into the long-awaited US NFP release

November 20, 2025, 12:32:53 PM UTC
EUR/USD extends losses for the fifth consecutive day and trades at 1.1515 at the time of writing on Thursday after a sharp reversal from levels near 1.1600 on Wednesday.
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Silver trades lower as US Dollar strength, rate cut uncertainty limit gains

November 20, 2025, 12:32:16 PM UTC
Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $50.80 on Thursday at the time of writing, down 0.70% on the day. The white metal is paring part of the earlier weekly advance, after prices briefly tested the $52.00 area before being rejected as the US Dollar (USD) regained strength.
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US Dollar Index (DXY) reaches resistance near 100.50 ahead of the NFP release

November 20, 2025, 12:23:40 PM UTC
The US Dollar is trading higher across the board on Thursday as investors pare back bets of a Fed interest rate cut in December.
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Pound Sterling rebounds despite accelerating BoE dovish bets

November 20, 2025, 12:11:37 PM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) moves higher against its major currency peers on Thursday. The British currency gains ground after an intense sell-off on Wednesday, prompted by heightened speculation of an interest rate cut by the Bank of England (BoE) at its next monetary policy meeting in December.
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Gold rangebound as investors eye delayed US jobs data

November 20, 2025, 11:52:59 AM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) trades slightly weaker on Thursday, holding within a choppy intraday range as investors stay on the sidelines ahead of the delayed September Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report due at 13:30 GMT. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading near $4,057, down roughly 0.45%.
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GBP/JPY holds gains near 206.00 on generalised Yen weakness

November 20, 2025, 11:29:22 AM UTC
The Pound remains bid against an ailing Japanese Yen on Thursday.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD slumps to near $4,050 as traders pare dovish Fed bets

November 20, 2025, 11:24:45 AM UTC
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades 0.5% lower to near $4,052.00 during the European trading session on Thursday. The yellow metal faces selling pressure as traders have trimmed bets supporting an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the December policy meeting.
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USD/JPY edges higher on strong US Dollar, Japan's fiscal challenges

November 20, 2025, 10:40:19 AM UTC
USD/JPY trades higher on Thursday, around 157.20 at the time of writing, up  0.20% on the day. The pair has extended its upward momentum throughout the week, supported by a macroeconomic backdrop that continues to favor the US Dollar (USD) over the Japanese Yen (JPY).
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NZD/USD Price Forecast: Kiwi trims losses and returns above 0.5600

November 20, 2025, 10:37:38 AM UTC
The New Zealand Dollar posts marginal gains against the USD on Thursday, trimming losses after a nearly 1% decline on Wednesday to seven-month lows at 0.5585.
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USD/INR trades firmly as Fed dovish bets recede, US NFP awaited

November 20, 2025, 10:28:28 AM UTC
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens on a negative note against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday. The USD/INR pair jumps to near 88.85 as the US Dollar (USD) outperforms its peers, following the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes of the October policy meeting on Wednesday.
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USD/CNH holds mid-range amid policy stability – BBH

November 20, 2025, 10:28:03 AM UTC
USD/CNH remains near the middle of its multi-month range as China keeps key loan rates and the 7-day reverse repo unchanged.
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USD/JPY nears 158 on JGB sell-off – BBH

November 20, 2025, 10:24:50 AM UTC
USD/JPY rallied close to 158.00, its highest level since January 15, driven by broad USD strength and the continued sell off in JGBs, BBH FX analysts report.
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USD breaks above 200-DMA amid lower rate cut odds – BBH

November 20, 2025, 10:15:30 AM UTC
US Dollar (USD) has powered above its 200-day moving average as Fed funds futures slashed rate cut bets. The US employment data void and hawkish FOMC October meeting minutes led markets to reduce odds of a December 25bps rate cut by more than 15pts to as low as 27%.
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Eurozone Construction Output w.d.a (YoY): -0.3% (September) vs previous 0.1%

November 20, 2025, 10:00:50 AM UTC
Eurozone Construction Output w.d.a (YoY): -0.3% (September) vs previous 0.1%
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Eurozone Construction Output s.a (MoM): -0.5% (September) vs previous -0.1%

November 20, 2025, 10:00:22 AM UTC
Eurozone Construction Output s.a (MoM): -0.5% (September) vs previous -0.1%
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USD/JPY eyes January high near 159.00 – Société Générale

November 20, 2025, 9:58:12 AM UTC
USD/JPY continues its rebound, breaking a multi-month descending trend line and approaching the January high near 158.85–159.10. While resistance in this zone may prompt a short-term pullback, the recent low at 154.40 offers key support, Société Générale's FX analysts note.
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Spain 10-y Obligaciones Auction: 3.199% vs 3.111%

November 20, 2025, 9:58:06 AM UTC
Spain 10-y Obligaciones Auction: 3.199% vs 3.111%
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USD/CNH: Upward momentum might lead to USD testing 7.1220 – UOB Group

November 20, 2025, 9:56:08 AM UTC
Slight increase in upward momentum could lead to US Dollar (USD) testing 7.1220. In the longer run, for the time being, USD is likely to trade between 7.1020 and 7.1285, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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USD/JPY hits intervention zone at 157-158 – ING

November 20, 2025, 9:53:42 AM UTC
USD/JPY has surged into the 157-158 range, a zone traditionally sensitive for Japanese authorities, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
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USD/JPY: Major resistance at 158.00 is likely out of reach for now – UOB Group

November 20, 2025, 9:51:00 AM UTC
There is scope for the rally in US Dollar (USD) to test 157.55, the major resistance at 158.00 is likely out of reach for now. In the longer run, USD is expected to continue moving higher; the next level to watch is 158.00, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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USD: Dollar has gone too far – ING

November 20, 2025, 9:47:59 AM UTC
Stock markets cleared the key hurdle of Nvidia's earnings release yesterday. While the S&P500 is still down in November as valuation concerns are seemingly on the rise, yesterday's strong earnings are offering relief to global risk sentiment and helping the high-beta G10 segment stabilise.
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WTI Crude languishes below $60.00 as oversupply concerns remain alive

November 20, 2025, 9:20:19 AM UTC
Oil prices have ticked up from Wednesday’s lows at $58.65, reaching session highs above $59.60 at the time of writing.
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NZD/USD: Likely to weaken to 0.5585 – UOB Group

November 20, 2025, 9:16:45 AM UTC
New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could continue to weaken, but any decline is likely limited to a test of 0.5585. In the longer run, given the sharp increase in downward momentum, NZD is likely to weaken to 0.5585, potentially 0.5565, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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GBP: Budget risk premium to stay – ING

November 20, 2025, 9:12:55 AM UTC
On Thursday, markets should hear from the opposing sides of the Bank of England's MPC spectrum as Catherine Mann (hawk) and Swati Dhingra (dove) are both scheduled to speak, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
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ECB's Makhlouf: Comfortable with current interest rates

November 20, 2025, 9:11:58 AM UTC
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council (GC) member and Governor of the Central Bank of Ireland, Gabriel Makhlouf, said on Thursday that the current monetary policy is appropriate and any adjustment is unlikely, unless there is a material change.
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AUD/USD: Likely to trade between 0.6450 and 0.6510 – UOB Group

November 20, 2025, 9:05:27 AM UTC
Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to trade between 0.6450 and 0.6510. In the longer run, downward bias remains intact, but AUD must close below 0.6440 before a move to 0.6405 can be expected, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
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