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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

EUR: Energy shock weighs on funding FX – BNY

March 13, 2026, 1:16:29 PM UTC
BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage notes that several current-account-surplus economies, including the Euro area, face renewed pressure from higher energy costs.
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US Durable Goods Orders virtually unchanged at $321.2 billion in January

March 13, 2026, 1:05:52 PM UTC
"New orders for manufactured durable goods in January, down three of the last four months, decreased $0.1 billion or virtually unchanged to $321.2 billion," the US Census Bureau reported on Friday.
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Russia Foreign Trade fell from previous $10.021B to $6.597B in January

March 13, 2026, 1:05:35 PM UTC
Russia Foreign Trade fell from previous $10.021B to $6.597B in January
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Russia Central Bank Reserves $ dipped from previous $811.1B to $802.2B

March 13, 2026, 1:05:11 PM UTC
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ dipped from previous $811.1B to $802.2B
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Aluminum: Supply risks and Asian tightness support prices – Commerzbank

March 13, 2026, 1:04:34 PM UTC
Commerzbank analysts highlight that Aluminium has gained around 10% since early March as the Iran conflict amplifies supply concerns, especially given the Gulf’s producer role and China’s production cap.
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GBP/JPY falls as weak UK GDP data weigh on the Pound

March 13, 2026, 1:03:41 PM UTC
The British Pound (GBP) weakens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Friday as Sterling comes under broad pressure following a batch of weaker-than-expected UK economic data. At the time of writing, GBP/JPY is trading around 211.50, retracing all the gains recorded earlier this week.
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USD: Safe haven status reaffirmed – Rabobank

March 13, 2026, 12:48:56 PM UTC
Rabobank’s FX Strategy team argues the Dollar’s safe haven role has been confirmed by recent Middle East tensions and associated market stress.
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Breaking: Canada Unemployment Rate up to 6.7% in February

March 13, 2026, 12:43:15 PM UTC
Statistics Canada reported that the Unemployment Rate rose to 6.7% in February, surpassing the 6.5% posted in January and the expected 6.6%.
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Gold struggles as Oil-driven inflation fears weigh on global interest rate outlook

March 13, 2026, 12:41:12 PM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) struggles to gain traction on Friday and remains on course for a second weekly decline as surging Oil prices stemming from the ongoing US-Iran war fuel inflation concerns and trigger a hawkish repricing of global interest-rate expectations, weighing on the non-yielding metal.
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GBP: Downside risks versus USD with conflict scenarios – TD Securities

March 13, 2026, 12:40:21 PM UTC
TD Securities analysts expect the BoE’s cautious stance to support the US Dollar against the Pound in the near term.
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US Q4 GDP growth revised to 0.7% vs. 1.4% expected

March 13, 2026, 12:39:53 PM UTC
The US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Friday that it revised the annualized Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the fourth quarter to 0.7% in its second estimate, compared to the market expectation and the initial estimate of 1.4%.
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US annual PCE inflation edges lower to 2.8% in January

March 13, 2026, 12:34:55 PM UTC
Inflation in the United States, as measured by the change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, edged lower to 2.8% in January from 2.9% in December, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported on Friday. This print came in below the market expectation of 2.9%.
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United States Gross Domestic Product Price Index climbed from previous 3.7% to 3.8% in 4Q

March 13, 2026, 12:30:53 PM UTC
United States Gross Domestic Product Price Index climbed from previous 3.7% to 3.8% in 4Q
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United States Gross Domestic Product Annualized came in at 0.7%, below expectations (1.4%) in 4Q

March 13, 2026, 12:30:26 PM UTC
United States Gross Domestic Product Annualized came in at 0.7%, below expectations (1.4%) in 4Q
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United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ) meets forecasts (2.7%) in 4Q

March 13, 2026, 12:30:25 PM UTC
United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (QoQ) meets forecasts (2.7%) in 4Q
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United States Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ) meets forecasts (2.9%) in 4Q

March 13, 2026, 12:30:24 PM UTC
United States Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ) meets forecasts (2.9%) in 4Q
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United States Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) registered at 2.8%, below expectations (2.9%) in January

March 13, 2026, 12:30:23 PM UTC
United States Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) registered at 2.8%, below expectations (2.9%) in January
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United States Personal Income (MoM) below expectations (0.5%) in January: Actual (0.4%)

March 13, 2026, 12:30:22 PM UTC
United States Personal Income (MoM) below expectations (0.5%) in January: Actual (0.4%)
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United States Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (0.3%) in January

March 13, 2026, 12:30:21 PM UTC
United States Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (0.3%) in January
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United States Personal Spending above expectations (0.3%) in January: Actual (0.4%)

March 13, 2026, 12:30:19 PM UTC
United States Personal Spending above expectations (0.3%) in January: Actual (0.4%)
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United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (0.4%) in January

March 13, 2026, 12:30:18 PM UTC
United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (0.4%) in January
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United States Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation below expectations (0.5%) in January: Actual (0.4%)

March 13, 2026, 12:30:14 PM UTC
United States Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation below expectations (0.5%) in January: Actual (0.4%)
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United States Durable Goods Orders ex Defense increased to 0.5% in January from previous -2.5%

March 13, 2026, 12:30:13 PM UTC
United States Durable Goods Orders ex Defense increased to 0.5% in January from previous -2.5%
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Canada Capacity Utilization above forecasts (78.4%) in 4Q: Actual (78.5%)

March 13, 2026, 12:30:10 PM UTC
Canada Capacity Utilization above forecasts (78.4%) in 4Q: Actual (78.5%)
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United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) in line with expectations (3.1%) in January

March 13, 2026, 12:30:09 PM UTC
United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) in line with expectations (3.1%) in January
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Canada Participation Rate fell from previous 65% to 64.9% in February

March 13, 2026, 12:30:06 PM UTC
Canada Participation Rate fell from previous 65% to 64.9% in February
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Canada Unemployment Rate registered at 6.7% above expectations (6.6%) in February

March 13, 2026, 12:30:02 PM UTC
Canada Unemployment Rate registered at 6.7% above expectations (6.6%) in February
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Canada Net Change in Employment came in at -83.9K, below expectations (10K) in February

March 13, 2026, 12:30:02 PM UTC
Canada Net Change in Employment came in at -83.9K, below expectations (10K) in February
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United States Durable Goods Orders below forecasts (1.2%) in January: Actual (-1.4%)

March 13, 2026, 12:30:00 PM UTC
United States Durable Goods Orders below forecasts (1.2%) in January: Actual (-1.4%)
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ECB: Oil shock complicates rate path – Societe Generale

March 13, 2026, 12:29:24 PM UTC
Societe Generale’s Anatoli Annenkov argues that despite higher Oil prices and rising inflation risks, the European Central Bank is likely to keep policy unchanged in the near term.
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