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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

Canada CPI set to show inflation ticked down slightly in December, remaining below BoC’s target

January 21, 2025, 1:00:00 PM UTC
The Canadian Consumer Price Index is seen advancing by 1.8% YoY in December.
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Pound Sterling falls back as weak UK labor data stokes BoE dovish bets

January 21, 2025, 12:53:00 PM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) surrenders its marginal gains against its major peers on Tuesday in the aftermath of the United Kingdom (UK) labor market data for three months ending November.
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EUR/USD declines as US Dollar rebounds with Trump keeping tariff hike plans intact

January 21, 2025, 12:43:41 PM UTC
EUR/USD corrects lower to near 1.0350 in Tuesday’s North Americn session after surging to 1.0430 on Monday.
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US Dollar recovers at large Monday's losses and tries to reclaim ground

January 21, 2025, 12:37:24 PM UTC
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, got hammered Monday when it turned out tariffs were not part of the executive orders signed by Donald Trump in his first hours as US President
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Gold elevated with tariff threat on precious metals having its side effects

January 21, 2025, 12:33:31 PM UTC
Gold’s price (XAU/USD) is rallying higher for a second day this week in what turns out to be a volatile week thus far, with US President Donald Trump confirming he intends to impose 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico as
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Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) came in at -1.9%, below expectations (-1.2%) in November

January 21, 2025, 12:00:39 PM UTC
Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) came in at -1.9%, below expectations (-1.2%) in November
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Mexico Retail Sales (MoM) came in at -0.1%, below expectations (0.3%) in November

January 21, 2025, 12:00:04 PM UTC
Mexico Retail Sales (MoM) came in at -0.1%, below expectations (0.3%) in November
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EUR/CAD gives up significant intraday gains ahead of Canadian inflation data

January 21, 2025, 11:16:22 AM UTC
The EUR/CAD pair surrenders a majority of its intraday gains after failing to extend its four-day run-up above the key resistance of 1.5050 in Tuesday’s European session.
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Germany 10-y Bond Auction down to 2.16% from previous 2.51%

January 21, 2025, 10:33:48 AM UTC
Germany 10-y Bond Auction down to 2.16% from previous 2.51%
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD trades cautiously as US Dollar rebounds with Trump’s policies in focus

January 21, 2025, 10:21:08 AM UTC
Silver price (XAG/USD) drops slightly to near $30.50 in Tuesday’s European session.
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USD/CNH: Major support at 7.2420 is likely out of reach – UOB Group

January 21, 2025, 10:05:57 AM UTC
Further US Dollar (USD) weakness is not ruled out; the major support at 7.2420 is likely out of reach for now. In the longer run, decline in USD seems excessive, but there is potential for a test of 7.2420, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
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USD/JPY: Below 154.90, the next objective is at 154.40 – UOB Group

January 21, 2025, 10:02:40 AM UTC
US Dollar (USD) could break 154.90; the next major support at 154.40 is likely out of reach for now. In the longer run, USD remains weak; if it breaks below 154.90, the next objective will be at 154.40, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
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Eurozone ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment came in at 18, above forecasts (16.9) in January

January 21, 2025, 10:01:12 AM UTC
Eurozone ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment came in at 18, above forecasts (16.9) in January
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German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index declines to 10.3 in January vs. 15.3 expected

January 21, 2025, 10:01:00 AM UTC
The headline German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index declined to 10.3 in January from 15.7 in December, missing the market consensus of 15.3.
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Germany ZEW Survey – Current Situation registered at -90.4 above expectations (-93.1) in January

January 21, 2025, 10:00:35 AM UTC
Germany ZEW Survey – Current Situation registered at -90.4 above expectations (-93.1) in January
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Germany ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment came in at 10.3, below expectations (15.3) in January

January 21, 2025, 10:00:34 AM UTC
Germany ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment came in at 10.3, below expectations (15.3) in January
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NZD/USD: Can break above 0.5700 – UOB Group

January 21, 2025, 9:49:23 AM UTC
Robust momentum indicates New Zealand Dollar (NZD) could break above 0.5700, but it might not be able to maintain a foothold above this level.
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GBP: Uneventful jobs data release – ING

January 21, 2025, 9:44:37 AM UTC
EUR/GBP was unfazed this morning by the release of UK labour figures. Wage growth excluding bonuses was slightly higher than expected.
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ECB’s Villeroy: There is a plausible consensus that we will act at each meeting

January 21, 2025, 9:44:13 AM UTC
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Tuesday that “there is a plausible consensus that we will act at each meeting.” Additional quotes We are not on a pre-set course on rates.
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AUD/USD: Current price action seems to be the early stages of a recovery – UOB Group

January 21, 2025, 9:37:07 AM UTC
Australian Dollar (AUD) could break above 0.6305; the next major resistance at 0.6350 is likely out of reach for now.
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Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data

January 21, 2025, 9:32:45 AM UTC
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Tuesday, according to FXStreet data.
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GBP/JPY remains below 190.00 following UK labor market report

January 21, 2025, 9:29:50 AM UTC
GBP/JPY experiences a decline after two consecutive days of gains, trading around 190.90 during the European session on Tuesday.
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USD: Volatility here to stay – ING

January 21, 2025, 9:29:37 AM UTC
The first day of Donald Trump's presidency was a volatile one for FX markets. The US Dollar (USD) tumbled before the inauguration as markets got tipped off by media reports that Trump would not impose tariffs on day one.
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Gold price eases from over two-month top on stronger USD, positive risk tone

January 21, 2025, 8:58:16 AM UTC
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some follow-through buying for the second successive day and climbs to its highest level since November 6, around the $2,726 region during the Asian session on Tuesday.
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GBP/USD: Resistance at 1.2410 is probably out of reach today – UOB Group

January 21, 2025, 8:42:44 AM UTC
Pound Sterling (GBP) is expected to continue to advance; the significant resistance at 1.2410 is probably out of reach today. In the longer run, GBP view is positive, anticipating a move to 1.2410, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
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EUR: Short-term upside room in the crosses – ING

January 21, 2025, 8:39:07 AM UTC
EUR/USD remains cheap and oversold despite yesterday’s rebound. We estimate that the pair is still trading around 1.5% below its short-term fair value, signalling some tariff related risk remains in the price, ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.
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WTI trades around $76.00, experiences volatility in the wake of executive orders by Trump

January 21, 2025, 8:38:53 AM UTC
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price ended a three-day losing streak, holding steady near $76.20 during European trading hours on Tuesday.
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EUR/USD: Resistance at 1.0480 is unlikely to come under threat for now – UOB Group

January 21, 2025, 8:37:08 AM UTC
Potential for Euro (EUR) to rise above 1.0440; the significant resistance at 1.0480 is unlikely to come under threat for now. Current price action is part of a recovery phase that could extend to 1.0480, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.
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US: Trump’s inauguration speech talks of ‘Golden Age’ – UOB Group

January 21, 2025, 8:33:10 AM UTC
US President Trump pledged to put America’s interests first to return the country to ‘a golden age’, reversing the US decline while taking on ‘a radical and corrupt establishment’ and ‘stop the weaponization of law enforcement’, UOB Group’s Senior Economist Alvin Liew notes.
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NZD/USD holds losses around 0.5650 as Business NZ PSI reports a decline

January 21, 2025, 7:46:07 AM UTC
NZD/USD retraces its recent gains from the previous session, trading near 0.5650 during early European hours on Tuesday.
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