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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

EUR/USD slips to 1.1600 as firm US data dampens Fed easing hopes

January 16, 2026, 10:20:29 PM UTC
EUR/USD drops even though the Dollar pared some of its earlier gains on Friday sparked by solid US economic data releases in the week, which has improved the outlook for the labor market. This trimmed the chances for further easing by the Federal Reserve, a tailwind for the Greenback.
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United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions climbed from previous 57.4K to 58.1K

January 16, 2026, 8:42:15 PM UTC
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions climbed from previous 57.4K to 58.1K
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Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions down to ¥-45.2K from previous ¥8.8K

January 16, 2026, 8:42:08 PM UTC
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions down to ¥-45.2K from previous ¥8.8K
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Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions rose from previous $-19K to $-18.8K

January 16, 2026, 8:42:00 PM UTC
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions rose from previous $-19K to $-18.8K
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United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions down to $-122.1K from previous $-106.1K

January 16, 2026, 8:41:53 PM UTC
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions down to $-122.1K from previous $-106.1K
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United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions: $-1221K vs previous $-106.1K

January 16, 2026, 8:41:49 PM UTC
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions: $-1221K vs previous $-106.1K
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United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions up to $251.2K from previous $227.6K

January 16, 2026, 8:41:23 PM UTC
United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions up to $251.2K from previous $227.6K
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United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions increased to £-25.3K from previous £-30.5K

January 16, 2026, 8:41:12 PM UTC
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions increased to £-25.3K from previous £-30.5K
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Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions fell from previous €162.8K to €132.7K

January 16, 2026, 8:41:06 PM UTC
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions fell from previous €162.8K to €132.7K
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Gold slides below $4,600 as profit-taking grows, Fed cut doubts rise

January 16, 2026, 7:25:06 PM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) registers losses of over 0.70% on Friday as traders take profits, as in the last two weeks, data in the US has shown the labor market is not as weaker as expected.
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AUD/USD slips as resilient US data dim hopes for early Fed cuts

January 16, 2026, 6:46:14 PM UTC
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades on the back foot against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, as resilient US economic data and hawkish-leaning Federal Reserve (Fed) rhetoric keep the Greenback firmly supported.
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United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count came in at 410, above forecasts (407)

January 16, 2026, 6:01:42 PM UTC
United States Baker Hughes US Oil Rig Count came in at 410, above forecasts (407)
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Forecasting the upcoming week: Inflation is key to the FX market

January 16, 2026, 5:30:00 PM UTC
The US Dollar (USD) lacked directional momentum this week amid geopolitical and local uncertainty.
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USD/JPY drops to 158.00 on Yen strength, intervention fears

January 16, 2026, 5:13:02 PM UTC
USD/JPY trades lower around 158.00 on Friday at the time of writing, down 0.40% on the day, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) regains some traction against the US Dollar (USD).
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WTI Oil recovers as Iran tensions ease, supply glut limits upside

January 16, 2026, 4:32:53 PM UTC
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $59.80 per barrel on Friday at the time of writing, up 1.60% on the day.
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Fed’s Bowman: Concerned about labor market fragility

January 16, 2026, 4:26:42 PM UTC
Federal Reserve (Fed) Vice Chair Michelle Bowman said that, given the risks, the Fed should not signal a pause in its rate-cutting campaign, in a speech at the New England Economic Forum in Foxborough, Massachusetts, on Friday.
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EUR/USD weakens below key averages as US Dollar strength caps rebounds

January 16, 2026, 4:20:05 PM UTC
The Euro (EUR) turns lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, surrendering intraday gains as renewed demand for the Greenback keeps the pair on the defensive. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading flat near 1.1600, after briefly sliding to its lowest level since November 28.
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Silver hits record $93.75 amid tight supply – Commerzbank

January 16, 2026, 4:18:23 PM UTC
The price of Silver continued its upward trajectory this week, reaching a record high of $93.75 per troy ounce on Thursday morning. As a result, the Gold/Silver ratio briefly slipped below the 50 mark for the first time since March 2012.
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OPEC+ production misses targets in December – Commerzbank

January 16, 2026, 4:14:22 PM UTC
OPEC+ production fell short of targets by 720,000 bpd in December, with Russia and Kazakhstan contributing most to the shortfall amid ongoing disruptions.
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US Crude output to decline as prices remain soft – Commerzbank

January 16, 2026, 4:10:54 PM UTC
The US Energy Information Administration forecasts US Crude production to remain near 13.6 million bpd in 2026, with a gradual decline next year due to weaker drilling activity amid low Oil prices.
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China’s Crude imports hit record high – Commerzbank

January 16, 2026, 4:05:59 PM UTC
China imported a record volume of Crude Oil in December and across 2025, driven by higher refinery runs and aggressive stockpiling, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
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GBP/USD flat near 1.3380 as strong data boosts the US Dollar

January 16, 2026, 4:03:49 PM UTC
The British Pound (GBP) trades sideways against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday during the North American session, after reaching a daily high of 1.3413, but solid US data released this week capped Sterling’s advance.
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Russia Consumer Price Index (MoM) declined to 0.3% in December from previous 0.42%

January 16, 2026, 4:00:42 PM UTC
Russia Consumer Price Index (MoM) declined to 0.3% in December from previous 0.42%
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JPY: Yen surges as intervention risks rise – Scotiabank

January 16, 2026, 3:58:41 PM UTC
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is strong, up 0.3% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and outperforming all of the G10 currencies with the exception of NOK and NZD, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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GBP: Pound gains as USD softens – Scotiabank

January 16, 2026, 3:52:11 PM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) is up a modest 0.2% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and a relative performer among the G10 currencies in an environment of broad – albeit mild – USD weakness, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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Euro edges higher but lags G10 peers – Scotiabank

January 16, 2026, 3:36:06 PM UTC
The Euro (EUR) is up a fractional 0.1% vs. the US Dollar (USD) and a relative underperformer among the G10 currencies as we head into Friday’s NA session, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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CAD flat despite China trade agreement – Scotiabank

January 16, 2026, 3:27:09 PM UTC
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is little changed on the day, with neither a modest bid for US equity futures nor a more obvious bump in crude prices helping the CAD out, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.
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Silver price falls sharply amid easing geopolitical tensions, Fed policy outlook

January 16, 2026, 3:16:33 PM UTC
Silver (XAG/USD) trades around $89.70 on Friday at the time of writing, down 2.50% on the day, extending the corrective move that began after reaching record highs earlier in the week.
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GBP/JPY weakens toward one-week lows as intervention talk supports the Yen

January 16, 2026, 3:14:41 PM UTC
The British Pound (GBP) remains under pressure against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Friday, with GBP/JPY extending losses for a third straight session as repeated warnings from Japanese officials revive speculation over possible currency intervention.
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United States NAHB Housing Market Index below forecasts (40) in January: Actual (37)

January 16, 2026, 3:00:00 PM UTC
United States NAHB Housing Market Index below forecasts (40) in January: Actual (37)
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