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View the daily news commentary to obtain insight on the financial markets.

ECB's Schnabel: Services inflation is proving stickier than expected

July 26, 2024, 4:45:01 PM UTC
Executive Board member of the European Central Bank (ECB) Isabel Schnabel hit the wires late on Friday noting that a single cut from the ECB doesn't necessarily guarantee follow-up cuts, and that inflation in the EU, particularly services inflation, is proving a tricky beast to slay.
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US Dollar struggles with mixed PCE figures and rate cuts bets

July 26, 2024, 4:14:49 PM UTC
On Friday, the US Dollar, as depicted by the DXY, displayed some resilience despite encountering daily losses post the release of mixed Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data.
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Gold price falls back from historic heights – Commerzbank

July 26, 2024, 3:39:19 PM UTC
Gold has fallen in recent days, but after a price increase of almost $200 between the end of June and mid-July, Commerzbank’s Commodity Analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
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Oil prices remain under pressure this week – Commerzbank

July 26, 2024, 3:33:48 PM UTC
Oil prices remained at just over $80, a barrel of Brent crude was temporarily as cheap as it was last at the beginning of June, Commerzbank’s Commodity Analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Stays subdued at around 1.2850

July 26, 2024, 3:23:42 PM UTC
The Pound Sterling clings to minuscule gains on Friday after the latest inflation report in the United States (US) reinforced investors' bets that the US Federal Reserve could begin slashing rates at the September monetary policy meeting.
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Major oil producers may withdraw again – Commerzbank

July 26, 2024, 3:22:17 PM UTC
The price of a barrel of Brent crude temporarily traded at just over $80, close to the perceived ‘pain threshold’ of the OPEC+ production cartel: At this price level, the cartel had decided in the past to cut production in order to stabilise the market, Commerzbank’s commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.
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GBP/USD: Bulls strife to test the 1.2925 resistance – Scotibank

July 26, 2024, 3:10:58 PM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) has nudged a little higher in quiet Asian and European trade after closing on the lows yesterday, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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EUR/USD: Looks well-supported on dips – Scotiabank

July 26, 2024, 3:06:26 PM UTC
The Euro (EUR) is flat on the day and down only modestly on the week as it holds a neutral range trade around 1.0850, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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USD/CAD: To remain close to its recent lows – Scotiabank

July 26, 2024, 2:41:47 PM UTC
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is slightly firmer on the session and while it remains down (0.6%) on the week versus the US Dollar (USD), it remains a clearly better performer overall than its close commodity peers (AUD and NZD are both down nearly 2%), Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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EUR/USD gains despite sticky US core PCE inflation

July 26, 2024, 2:35:36 PM UTC
EUR/USD rises above 1.0850 as the US Dollar (USD) declines in Friday's New York session.
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US Dollar Index edges lower to near 104.20 after mix US PCE Inflation release

July 26, 2024, 2:26:49 PM UTC
The US Dollar Index (DXY) falls slightly to near 104.20 in Friday’s New York session after the United States (US) Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) published the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) report for June.
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CNY: No turning point – Commerzbank

July 26, 2024, 2:06:10 PM UTC
Yesterday morning, the CNY was able to take advantage of the JPY's strength against the US Dollar and also appreciated significantly against the greenback.
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JPY: Lots of hope – Commerzbank

July 26, 2024, 2:01:48 PM UTC
Those who still believed that the JPY's rally was due to idiosyncratic factors that only affect the Japanese currency were disabused of that notion by 2:30 p.m.
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Mexican Peso extends recovery after release of US Core PCE

July 26, 2024, 2:01:33 PM UTC
The Mexican Peso (MXN) recovers in its most traded pairs on Friday after an over-week-long sell-off.
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United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation above forecasts (2.9%) in July: Actual (3%)

July 26, 2024, 2:00:11 PM UTC
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation above forecasts (2.9%) in July: Actual (3%)
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United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 66.4, above expectations (66) in July

July 26, 2024, 2:00:01 PM UTC
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 66.4, above expectations (66) in July
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AUD/USD remains steady near 0.6550 after mix US PCE Inflation report

July 26, 2024, 1:29:02 PM UTC
The AUD/USD pair remains steady above the immediate support of 0.6520 in Friday’s New York session after the release of the mixed United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation (PCE) report for June.
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Pound Sterling steadies above two-week low after release of US core PCE inflation

July 26, 2024, 1:04:00 PM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) remains sideways above fresh two-week low of 1.2845 against the US Dollar (USD) in Friday’s American session after the release of the United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditures price index (PCE) report for June.
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Breaking: US core PCE inflation holds steady at 2.6% vs. 2.5% forecast

July 26, 2024, 12:57:33 PM UTC
The United States will release June Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index figures on Friday.
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United States Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) meets expectations (2.5%) in June

July 26, 2024, 12:30:43 PM UTC
United States Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) meets expectations (2.5%) in June
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United States Personal Income (MoM) registered at 0.2%, below expectations (0.4%) in June

July 26, 2024, 12:30:43 PM UTC
United States Personal Income (MoM) registered at 0.2%, below expectations (0.4%) in June
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United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.6%, above forecasts (2.5%) in June

July 26, 2024, 12:30:42 PM UTC
United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.6%, above forecasts (2.5%) in June
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United States Personal Spending meets expectations (0.3%) in June

July 26, 2024, 12:30:19 PM UTC
United States Personal Spending meets expectations (0.3%) in June
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United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) above forecasts (0.1%) in June: Actual (0.2%)

July 26, 2024, 12:30:16 PM UTC
United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) above forecasts (0.1%) in June: Actual (0.2%)
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United States Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) in line with expectations (0.1%) in June

July 26, 2024, 12:30:13 PM UTC
United States Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (MoM) in line with expectations (0.1%) in June
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EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Risk of recovery after deep sell-off

July 26, 2024, 12:29:43 PM UTC
EUR/JPY is at risk of recovering after the steep sell-off of the last two weeks has stalled.
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USD/CAD Price Analysis: Reaches critical point at ceiling of three-month range

July 26, 2024, 12:05:24 PM UTC
USD/CAD has risen to the top of the range it has been trading in since the middle of April.
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Mexico Trade Balance s/a, $ down to $-1.944B in June from previous $0.971B

July 26, 2024, 12:00:39 PM UTC
Mexico Trade Balance s/a, $ down to $-1.944B in June from previous $0.971B
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Mexico Trade Balance, $ below forecasts ($1B) in June: Actual ($-1.037B)

July 26, 2024, 12:00:35 PM UTC
Mexico Trade Balance, $ below forecasts ($1B) in June: Actual ($-1.037B)
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USD, EUR: Backwards or forwards – Commerzbank

July 26, 2024, 11:49:27 AM UTC
Thursday was a bit puzzling. Due to concerns about the current state of the US consumer and general uncertainty about the state of the global manufacturing sector, uncertainty had spread to the currency markets in recent days, Commerzbank FX strategist Volkmar Baur notes.
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