Learn / Market News / EUR: Hormuz inflation shock and EU politics – Rabobank

EUR: Hormuz inflation shock and EU politics – Rabobank

Rabobank analysts flag that final March CPI across the Eurozone will refine how the Hormuz-driven energy shock feeds into Euro-area inflation. Politically, Hungary’s new government may unblock the EU’s €90B Ukraine loan and supports NATO, while Brussels pushes qualified majority voting on foreign policy, underscoring evolving EU governance that could influence Euro sentiment over time.

Eurozone CPI and shifting EU stance

"In Europe, final March CPI prints across the Eurozone will refine the unfolding picture of the Hormuz inflation shock."

"Yes, in Europe, following Orban’s electoral defeat in Hungary, new PM Magyar has hinted at ending the block on the EU’s key €90B Ukraine loan, and has reiterated his support for NATO, if not necessarily for Ukraine itself. And, yes, on the back of this, European Commission President Von der Leyen is now pushing to end individual countries’ vetoes over EU foreign policy in favour of qualified majority voting."

"However, this remains a politically contentious issue even within the most pro-European member states, while the above again points to the ongoing structural shifts underway in our geopolitical and geoeconomic architecture, with major market implications, which the Iran war is naturally accelerating."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

There is a high level of risk in Margined Transaction products, as Contract for Difference (CFDs) are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to the leverage. Trading CFDs may not be suitable for all traders as it could result in the loss of the total deposit or incur a negative balance; only use risk capital.

ATC Brokers Limited (United Kingdom) is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN 591361).

ATC Brokers Limited (Cayman Islands) is authorised and regulated by the Cayman Islands Monetary Authority (FRN 1448274).

Prior to trading any CFD products, review all the terms and conditions and you should seek advice from an independent and suitably licensed financial advisor and ensure that you have the risk appetite, relevant experience and knowledge before you decide to trade. Under no circumstances shall ATC Brokers Limited have any liability to any person or entity for any loss or damage in whole or part cause by, resulting from, or relating to any transactions related to CFDs.

Information on this site is not directed at residents in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

United States applicants will need to qualify as an Eligible Contract Participant as defined in the Commodity Exchange Act §1a(18), by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for the application to be considered.

© 2026 ATC Brokers. All rights reserved