According to Reuters, QatarEnergy’s CEO has confirmed significant damage to key facilities, taking around 17% of the country’s LNG exports offline, roughly 12.8 million tonnes per year, for what could be three to five years. This is not a short-term disruption, it’s a structural hit to global supply.

The implications are immediate: long-term contracts to Italy, Belgium, Korea and China could face force majeure, potentially pushing buyers back into the spot market.

At the same time, output declines across condensate, LPG and other by-products underline the broader scale of the shock, with estimated revenue losses of around $20 billion per year.