EUR/USD gives away previous gains with all eyes on US inflation data
- The Euro pulls down from daily highs at 1.1675 against the US Dollar.
- Eurozone economy and employment creation accelerated in Q3.
- In the US, all eyes will be on September's PCE Price Index release.
EUR/USD has given away previous gains during Friday's European session and is practically flat in the daily chart, trading at 1.1647 at the time of writing. Downside attempts, however, remain contained as investors brace for a quarter-point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, while the focus now shifts to the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report, due later on the day.
Data released earlier on Friday revealed that the Eurozone GDP grew at a 0.3% rate in Q3, above the 0.2% growth reported in the previous estimation and also above the 0.1% expansion seen in the previous quarter. The yearly GDP has been left unrevised, at 1.4%, down from the previous quarter's 1.5%.
Beyond that, Eurostat's data revealed that employment growth accelerated to 0.2% in the three months to September, from 0.1% in Q2, and beat expectations of a 0.1% growth. Year-on-year, Eurozone employment grew 0.6%, following a 0.5% increase in the previous quarter and market expectations of a steady 0.5% growth. The impact of these figures on the Euro has been marginal.
The focus now shifts to the US PCE Price Index, the last inflation gauge ahead of next week's Fed monetary policy meeting. PCE data is expected to confirm that inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target, although it is unlikely to alter the view that the Fed will ease monetary policy further next week.
Euro Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.03% | -0.09% | 0.06% | -0.10% | -0.32% | -0.12% | -0.04% | |
| EUR | 0.03% | -0.07% | 0.05% | -0.08% | -0.30% | -0.10% | -0.02% | |
| GBP | 0.09% | 0.07% | 0.12% | -0.00% | -0.23% | -0.03% | 0.05% | |
| JPY | -0.06% | -0.05% | -0.12% | -0.14% | -0.37% | -0.18% | -0.09% | |
| CAD | 0.10% | 0.08% | 0.00% | 0.14% | -0.23% | -0.04% | 0.06% | |
| AUD | 0.32% | 0.30% | 0.23% | 0.37% | 0.23% | 0.20% | 0.28% | |
| NZD | 0.12% | 0.10% | 0.03% | 0.18% | 0.04% | -0.20% | 0.08% | |
| CHF | 0.04% | 0.02% | -0.05% | 0.09% | -0.06% | -0.28% | -0.08% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
Daily Digest Market Movers: US Dollar remains on the defensive amid Fed cutting hopes
- The US Dollar remains the worst performer of the G8 currencies this week. The downbeat ADP Employment Change report seen earlier this week has cemented hopes that the Fed will cut rates next week, while in Europe, manufacturing activity data beat expectations, providing additional support to the Euro.
- On Thursday, Eurozone Retail Sales disappointed with a 0% growth in October, undershooting market expectations of a 0.1% growth. September's data was revised up to a 0.1% rise from the previously estimated 0.1% decline. The Euro pulled back after the release to pick up shortly afterwards.
- US Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 191,000 in the last week of November, their lowest level in three years, from 218,00 in the previous week. The market took these figures with caution, as job seekers might have left their unemployment claims on hold during the Thanksgiving holidays.
- Futures markets are pricing in an 87% chance of a 25 basis points Fed interest rate cut at their December 10 meeting, and between two and three more cuts next year, according to the CME Group's Fedwatch Tool.
- News about the possibility of White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett replacing Jerome Powell as the next Fed chairman is also weighing on the US Dollar. The Financial Times has reported that Bond investors have complained to the US Treasury, concerned that Hassett might carry on an aggressive easing cycle.
- Later on the day, the US PCE Price Index is expected to confirm that inflation remains sticky, with the headline reading accelerating to a 2.8% year-on-year reading, from 2.7% in August, and the core reading growing at a steady 2.9% yearly pace.
Technical Analysis: EUR/USD bulls remain capped below 1.1680

EUR/USD maintains its immediate bullish trend intact, with downside attempts contained above trendline support, now at 1.1630, while the 1.1670-1.1680 area keeps holding bulls. The 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains steady above the 50 level, currently at 61, although the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator has pulled back below the zero level, indicating that the bullish trend is losing steam.
Bulls need to breach Thursday's high at 1.1682 to extend their rally towards the October 17 high, near 1.1730, ahead of the October 1 high, at 1.1778.
A bearish reaction below the mentioned 1.1630 level, on the contrary, might lure bears to retest the weekly lows near 1.1590. Further down, the November 26 and 28 lows in the 1.1550-1.1555 area emerge as the next targets.
Economic Indicator
Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)
The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis on a monthly basis, measures the changes in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers in the United States (US). The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to a year earlier. Price changes may cause consumers to switch from buying one good to another and the PCE Deflator can account for such substitutions. This makes it the preferred measure of inflation for the Federal Reserve. Generally, a high reading is bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is bearish.
Read more.Next release: Fri Dec 05, 2025 13:30
Frequency: Monthly
Consensus: 2.8%
Previous: 2.7%
Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
Economic Indicator
Core Personal Consumption Expenditures - Price Index (YoY)
The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis on a monthly basis, measures the changes in the prices of goods and services purchased by consumers in the United States (US). The PCE Price Index is also the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred gauge of inflation. The YoY reading compares the prices of goods in the reference month to the same month a year earlier. The core reading excludes the so-called more volatile food and energy components to give a more accurate measurement of price pressures." Generally, a high reading is bullish for the US Dollar (USD), while a low reading is bearish.
Read more.Next release: Fri Dec 05, 2025 13:30
Frequency: Monthly
Consensus: 2.9%
Previous: 2.9%
Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis
After publishing the GDP report, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis releases the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data alongside the monthly changes in Personal Spending and Personal Income. FOMC policymakers use the annual Core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, as their primary gauge of inflation. A stronger-than-expected reading could help the USD outperform its rivals as it would hint at a possible hawkish shift in the Fed’s forward guidance and vice versa.