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AUD/JPY plummets to near 106.00 as Japan’s intervention warnings boost Yen

  • AUD/JPY plunges almost 1% to near 106.00 as the Yen outperforms across the board.
  • Japan’s PM Takaichi warns of intervention to address speculative moves against Yen.
  • Investors await the Australian Q4 and December CPI data.

The AUD/JPY pair holds onto early losses near 106.00 during the European trading session on Monday. The cross is down almost 1% as the Japanese Yen (JPY) outperforms its peers, following comments from Japan’s Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi that the government could intervene against one-way excessive moves.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.29%-0.24%-1.29%-0.09%-0.41%-0.39%-0.55%
EUR0.29%0.05%-1.00%0.20%-0.13%-0.11%-0.26%
GBP0.24%-0.05%-1.03%0.16%-0.17%-0.14%-0.31%
JPY1.29%1.00%1.03%1.23%0.89%0.92%0.76%
CAD0.09%-0.20%-0.16%-1.23%-0.33%-0.30%-0.46%
AUD0.41%0.13%0.17%-0.89%0.33%0.02%-0.13%
NZD0.39%0.11%0.14%-0.92%0.30%-0.02%-0.16%
CHF0.55%0.26%0.31%-0.76%0.46%0.13%0.16%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

“Cannot comment on market but will closely monitor speculative moves and respond appropriately,” Takaichi said. She also vowed to achieve a “two-year suspension of 8% consumption tax”. Takaichi has also been arguing about loosening tight fiscal conditions, and a lower consumption tax is a crucial step towards fulfilling her economic agenda.

Hopes of looser fiscal conditions have been pushing the cost of funds for Japan's government higher. 10-year yields on Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) have rebounded after a three-day corrective move on Monday.

On the monetary policy front, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) left interest rates unchanged at 0.75% on Friday, while leaving the door open for more interest rate hikes.

Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar (AUD) trades broadly firm ahead of the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for the fourth quarter and December 2025 on Wednesday. Q4 CPI is estimated to have grown at an annualized pace of 3.6%, faster than the prior release of 3.2%.

Hot CPI figures would prompt expectations of an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) in the near term. Currently, traders see a 60% chance that the RBA will hike borrowing rates  in the policy meeting next week, Reuters reported.

 

Economic Indicator

Quarterly Consumer Price Index (YoY)

The Consumer Price Index (CPI), released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a quarterly basis, measures the changes in the price of a fixed basket of goods and services acquired by household consumers. The quarterly CPI data series are calculated as the average of the three relevant monthly CPIs. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference quarter to the same quarter a year earlier. A high reading is seen as bullish for the Australian Dollar (AUD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.

Read more.

Next release: Wed Jan 28, 2026 00:30

Frequency: Quarterly

Consensus: 3.6%

Previous: 3.2%

Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics

The quarterly Consumer Price Index (CPI) published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has a significant impact on the market and the AUD valuation. The gauge is closely watched by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), in order to achieve its inflation mandate, which has major monetary policy implications. Rising consumer prices tend to be AUD bullish, as the RBA could hike interest rates to maintain its inflation target. The data is released nearly 25 days after the quarter ends.


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