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市场新闻

查看每日新闻评论以深入了解金融市场。

Aluminium: Middle East risks keep market tight – ING

March 12, 2026, 11:30:28 AM UTC
ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey report LME Aluminium trading near four-year highs as Middle East conflict-driven supply risks support prices. Rising cancelled warrants and accelerating stock withdrawals point to growing physical tightness, particularly at Port Klang.
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EU: Neighbourhood demand offsets China drag – BNP Paribas

March 12, 2026, 11:21:12 AM UTC
BNP Paribas highlights that European Union exports to China fell sharply in 2025, while exports to nearby partners such as Türkiye, Morocco, Ukraine and the Balkans increased.
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Oil: Supply shock risk supports Dollar – BBH

March 12, 2026, 11:09:44 AM UTC
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that Brent crude Oil briefly moved back above $100 per barrel after tanker attacks near Iraq and Dubai, reviving stagflation concerns and pressuring bonds and equities.
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Portugal Global Trade Balance: €-7.457B (January) vs €-7.798B

March 12, 2026, 11:07:15 AM UTC
Portugal Global Trade Balance: €-7.457B (January) vs €-7.798B
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Ireland Consumer Price Index (YoY) unchanged at 2.7% in February

March 12, 2026, 11:01:41 AM UTC
Ireland Consumer Price Index (YoY) unchanged at 2.7% in February
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Ireland HICP (YoY) came in at 2.5%, above forecasts (2.4%) in February

March 12, 2026, 11:00:32 AM UTC
Ireland HICP (YoY) came in at 2.5%, above forecasts (2.4%) in February
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Ireland Consumer Price Index (MoM) up to 0.9% in February from previous -0.9%

March 12, 2026, 11:00:32 AM UTC
Ireland Consumer Price Index (MoM) up to 0.9% in February from previous -0.9%
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Ireland HICP (MoM) registered at 0.8% above expectations (0.7%) in February

March 12, 2026, 11:00:31 AM UTC
Ireland HICP (MoM) registered at 0.8% above expectations (0.7%) in February
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South Africa Manufacturing Production Index (YoY): -0.7% (January) vs -1.4%

March 12, 2026, 11:00:14 AM UTC
South Africa Manufacturing Production Index (YoY): -0.7% (January) vs -1.4%
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EUR/GBP rebounds as markets reassess ECB, BoE policy amid inflation fears

March 12, 2026, 10:50:41 AM UTC
EUR/GBP rebounds on Thursday, with the Euro (EUR) gaining 0.08% against the Pound Sterling (GBP), hovering around 0.8632 at the time of writing.
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USD/TRY: Tactical pause masks inflation risks – Commerzbank

March 12, 2026, 10:02:07 AM UTC
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Central Bank of Turkey to keep rates on hold, seeing this as a tactical pause rather than a shift in strategy.
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EUR/GBP: Market too hawkish on BoE path – ING

March 12, 2026, 9:57:47 AM UTC
ING analysts see markets as overly aggressive on Bank of England expectations, with easing priced out after the Iran conflict. They note EUR/GBP’s negative correlation with Oil and warn that no rate changes are now expected by year-end.
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Indian Rupee recovers recent losses as RBI intervention counters oil impact

March 12, 2026, 9:47:46 AM UTC
USD/INR moves sideways and stays in the negative territory at the time of writing on Thursday.
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ECB: Hawkish comments drive rate expectations – Commerzbank

March 12, 2026, 9:45:08 AM UTC
Commerzbank’s Rates Strategist Hauke Siemßen argues that recent Oil-driven moves in Euro rates have given way to ECB-driven repricing. Comments from Kazimir and Schnabel have led forwards to discount a first 25 bp ECB rate hike by July, even as Commerzbank still forecasts no hikes this year.
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AUD/USD: RBA hawkish stance supports resilience – DBS

March 12, 2026, 9:32:32 AM UTC
Philip Wee at DBS Group Research highlights that the Australian Dollar has outperformed in G10 despite the Iran conflict. He attributes AUD strength to Reserve Bank of Australia policy divergence and a firmly hawkish stance.
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Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

March 12, 2026, 9:30:38 AM UTC
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Thursday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $86.84 per troy ounce, up 1.28% from the $85.74 it cost on Wednesday.
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Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds gains near $87.00 despite fading Fed cut bets

March 12, 2026, 9:30:24 AM UTC
Silver price (XAG/USD) pares its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around $86.90 per troy ounce during the European hours on Thursday.
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JPY: Energy shock raises bar for intervention – MUFG

March 12, 2026, 9:23:33 AM UTC
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman notes the Japanese Yen has underperformed since the Middle East conflict, with USD/JPY back near year-to-date highs.
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EUR/USD: Downside risks with 1.150 in focus – ING

March 12, 2026, 9:05:37 AM UTC
ING’s FX team argues that while Europe is better positioned on gas than in 2022, the Euro remains vulnerable against the Dollar.
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TRY: Policy stays tight as CBRT holds – Societe Generale

March 12, 2026, 8:51:47 AM UTC
Societe Generale expects the CBRT to keep the one-week repo rate at 37.0% and maintain a hawkish stance, with effective funding already pushed to 40% via the overnight lending window. The bank notes heavy FX reserve use and liquidity draining to support the Lira and tight conditions.
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Gold steadily climbs closer to $5,200 as Middle East tensions underpin safe-haven demand

March 12, 2026, 8:46:58 AM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) climbs to the top end of its daily trading range during the first half of the European session on Thursday, though it remains below the $5,200 mark.
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Oil: Central bank pain threshold and policy bias – TD Securities

March 12, 2026, 8:45:42 AM UTC
TD Securities’ James Rossiter argues that major central banks have shifted their reaction functions after recent supply shocks, now placing greater emphasis on inflation and expectations than on growth.
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EUR/USD Price Forecast: Holds losses near 1.1550 as bearish bias prevails

March 12, 2026, 8:39:30 AM UTC
EUR/USD continues to lose ground for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.1550 during the European hours on Thursday. Daily chart technical analysis indicates a persistent bearish bias as the pair moves downwards within a descending channel pattern.
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USD/INR: Rupee vulnerability under Strait of Hormuz shock – MUFG

March 12, 2026, 8:29:33 AM UTC
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan warns the Indian Rupee is vulnerable under a prolonged Iran–Middle East conflict and Strait of Hormuz closure, with USD/INR potentially rising above 95.
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ECB: Hawkish words as oil shock risk rises – ING

March 12, 2026, 8:14:23 AM UTC
ING’s Global Head of Macro Carsten Brzeski argues that the European Central Bank will keep rates unchanged at its 19 March meeting but adopt a more hawkish tone as the war in the Middle East and higher Oil prices revive memories of the 2022 energy shock.
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USD/JPY: Hawkish BOJ risks at multi‑decade highs – DBS

March 12, 2026, 7:50:27 AM UTC
DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee warns that caution is warranted on USD/JPY as the pair trades near the 159–160 resistance zone after Operation Epic Fury. He expects the Bank of Japan to deliver a hawkish hold on March 19, distinguishing temporary supply-led inflation from demand-pull pressures.
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AUD: RBA tightening path supports currency – TD Securities

March 12, 2026, 7:41:29 AM UTC
TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to raise rates by 25 bps in March and again in May, fully reversing last year’s cuts and taking the cash rate back to 4.35%.
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Forex Today: Oil and USD rise again as safe-haven flows return

March 12, 2026, 7:30:14 AM UTC
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, March 12:
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GBP/USD Price Forecast: Trades below 1.3400 after pulling back from nine-day EMA

March 12, 2026, 7:27:53 AM UTC
GBP/USD extends its losses for the third successive session, trading around 1.3380 during the early European hours on Thursday.
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Brent: Escalating supply risks support higher prices – Rabobank

March 12, 2026, 7:24:30 AM UTC
Rabobank’s RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets team highlights rising geopolitical risks around Iran and Hormuz as Brent Oil trades close to $100.
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