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EUR/GBP weakens after UK jobs data and softer Eurozone PMI

December 16, 2025, 1:22:03 PM UTC
The Euro (EUR) weakens against the British Pound (GBP) on Tuesday, as Sterling outperforms most major peers following the release of UK labour market data. At the time of writing, EUR/GBP trades around 0.8763, down nearly 0.25% on the day, snapping a three-day winning streak.
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United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 16.25K (November 29) vs 4.75K

December 16, 2025, 1:15:53 PM UTC
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 16.25K (November 29) vs 4.75K
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Russia’s largest Palladium producer sees platinum deficit this year – Commerzbank

December 16, 2025, 12:52:09 PM UTC
Russia’s top Palladium producer expects a notable supply deficit for Platinum in 2025, while Palladium remains mostly balanced, highlighting diverging market views compared with the World Platinum Investment Council’s forecasts, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
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Platinum hits $1,800, highest since 2011 – Commerzbank

December 16, 2025, 12:49:29 PM UTC
Platinum and Palladium prices rose sharply this week, driven by record-high Silver and Gold levels and prospects of increased demand from the European automotive sector following indications of a softer 2035 combustion engine ban, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
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EUR/USD tests mid-term highs ahead of US employment, consumption data

December 16, 2025, 12:49:11 PM UTC
EUR/USD is testing two-and-a-half-month highs, at the 1.1765, ahead of Tuesday's US session opening. The pair has shrugged off the negative impact of weaker-than-expected preliminary Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers Indexes (PMIs) and resumed its broader bullish trend ahead of key US
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JPY strengthens ahead of BOJ rate decision – BBH

December 16, 2025, 12:45:01 PM UTC
The Japanese Yen (JPY) gained against most major currencies as markets anticipate the Bank of Japan’s first rate hike since January, with PMI data showing modest growth and investors looking for clues on the central bank’s policy normalization path, BBH FX analysts report.
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Nonfarm Payrolls set to show US labor market continued to cool in November

December 16, 2025, 12:45:00 PM UTC
The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October and November on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. 
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Gold retreats below $4,300 ahead of US jobs data – Commerzbank

December 16, 2025, 12:39:20 PM UTC
Gold dipped below $4,300 per ounce as investors awaited today’s US labor market data, with weaker-than-expected figures likely to support prices, while stronger results could trigger volatility by shifting Fed policy expectations, Commerzbank's Head of FX and Commodity Research Thu Lan Nguyen notes.
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GBP shows strength amid mixed UK data – BBH

December 16, 2025, 12:32:58 PM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) outperformed as UK labor market conditions eased and the December PMI signaled firmer private sector growth, while markets fully priced in an upcoming Bank of England rate cut, BBH FX analysts report.
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China Crude imports surge in November – Commerzbank

December 16, 2025, 12:27:26 PM UTC
China imported far more Crude than needed in November, adding to strategic reserves and helping prevent a sharper drop in global Oil prices, though the sustainability of this trend remains uncertain, Commerzbank's FX analyst Michael Pfister notes.
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EUR/USD near highest level since early October – BBH

December 16, 2025, 12:21:11 PM UTC
EUR/USD is trading near its highest level since October 1 as Eurozone PMI data showed a modest slowdown, while German ZEW expectations improved sharply.
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Chinese Crude Oil Processing Edges Up 4% Y/Y in November – Commerzbank

December 16, 2025, 12:11:18 PM UTC
China’s refineries processed 60.83 million tons of Crude Oil in November, up 4% from a year ago but slightly below October’s daily rate. Stronger output at independent refineries offset slower production at state-owned facilities due to maintenance.
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USD trades heavy ahead of November NFP release – BBH

December 16, 2025, 12:07:10 PM UTC
US Dollar (USD) is trading heavy near the middle of its June-December range. USD is set for a choppy trading day as key US data hit the wire. US November nonfarm payrolls (NFP) comes today, BBH FX analysts report.
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Gold under pressure as traders brace for delayed US NFP release

December 16, 2025, 12:00:48 PM UTC
Gold (XAU/USD) trades on the back foot on Tuesday as traders trim exposure ahead of a heavy US economic data docket that could reshape expectations for the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy path into 2026.
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Oil: Brent Crude falls below $60 for first time in over seven months – Commerzbank

December 16, 2025, 11:04:36 AM UTC
Brent Crude fell below $60 per barrel this morning, marking the lowest level in more than seven months, while WTI closed at its weakest since February 2021.
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DXY: US NFP report might shift Fed rate expectations – MUFG

December 16, 2025, 10:57:46 AM UTC
Today’s nonfarm payrolls report is set to influence market expectations for the Fed’s January meeting.
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Pound Sterling outperforms on key UK data, US NFP eyed

December 16, 2025, 10:56:00 AM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) extend its intraday upside move against its major currency peers on Tuesday, following the release of the United Kingdom (UK) preliminary S&P Global Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for December, and the labour market data for the three months ending in October.
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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD slumps to near $4,270, US NFP takes centre stage

December 16, 2025, 10:48:26 AM UTC
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades 0.6% lower to near $4,270 during the European trading session on Tuesday. The yellow metal faces intense selling pressure as profit-booking kicks in after revisiting the all-time high above $4,350.
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GBP softens as BoE rate cut looms – MUFG

December 16, 2025, 10:45:54 AM UTC
The Pound Sterling (GBP) weakened at the start of the week, pushing EUR/GBP closer to 0.8800.
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USD/JPY dips ahead of expected BOJ hike – OCBC

December 16, 2025, 10:40:04 AM UTC
USD/JPY softened as UST yields slipped, with the market largely pricing in a 25bp Bank of Japan (BOJ) hike this Friday and another in 2026.
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DXY: Fed officials signal preparedness for faster easing – OCBC

December 16, 2025, 10:26:36 AM UTC
Fed officials highlighted the need for flexibility in monetary policy, with Miran cautioning that labor market weakness can emerge rapidly and Williams noting that policy is well positioned after last week’s rate cut.
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CNY gains 0.9% in November on trade-weighted basis – Commerzbank

December 16, 2025, 10:09:56 AM UTC
The Chinese Yuan (CNY) continued its steady appreciation, supported by a weaker US Dollar (USD), with USD/CNY falling to 7.0471. Banking sector foreign currency reserves rose further, reflecting efforts to moderate the pace of CNY gains while maintaining a high trade surplus.
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Eurozone ZEW Survey rises significantly to 33.7 in December vs. 26.3 estimates

December 16, 2025, 10:08:27 AM UTC
Eurozone ZEW Survey - Economic Sentiment jumps sharply to 33.7 in December. The sentiment indicator was expected to increase slightly to 26.3 from 25.0 in November.
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Italy Trade Balance EU dipped from previous €-0.042B to €-1.31B in October

December 16, 2025, 10:02:35 AM UTC
Italy Trade Balance EU dipped from previous €-0.042B to €-1.31B in October
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USD/CNH approaches 7.00 despite weak Chinese data – ING

December 16, 2025, 10:02:14 AM UTC
USD/CNH nears 7.00, despite disappointing Chinese activity data.
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Eurozone ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment above expectations (26.3) in December: Actual (33.7)

December 16, 2025, 10:01:13 AM UTC
Eurozone ZEW Survey – Economic Sentiment above expectations (26.3) in December: Actual (33.7)
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Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. dipped from previous €18.7B to €14B in October

December 16, 2025, 10:00:58 AM UTC
Eurozone Trade Balance s.a. dipped from previous €18.7B to €14B in October
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Italy Global Trade Balance above forecasts (€3.22B) in October: Actual (€4.156B)

December 16, 2025, 10:00:56 AM UTC
Italy Global Trade Balance above forecasts (€3.22B) in October: Actual (€4.156B)
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Eurozone Trade Balance n.s.a. dipped from previous €19.4B to €18.4B in October

December 16, 2025, 10:00:34 AM UTC
Eurozone Trade Balance n.s.a. dipped from previous €19.4B to €18.4B in October
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Germany ZEW Survey – Current Situation came in at -81, below expectations (-80) in December

December 16, 2025, 10:00:31 AM UTC
Germany ZEW Survey – Current Situation came in at -81, below expectations (-80) in December
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